According to the established definition, ‘pundit' is a Hindi word used to describe the ‘native surveyors who explored regions to the north of India for the British Empire.' However, an earlier version of pundit was in part used to describe sage interpreters of the signs of the future.
Later, the word migrated into the world's technical lexicon and a century and a half later, although its meaning still retains some of the original flavors, pundit has evolved into being a more complex term, generally describing a person capable of both - ‘surveying' his/her area of expertise combined with the ability to ‘see' the future, and most importantly, having the ability to explain it all in an easy, lay language.
Tough act, needless to say, especially if one has to advise on the complex future of Canada's automotive sector.
During the Canadian International Auto Show, we had the chance to talk to two of the most respected Canadian auto analysts - Mr. Dennis DesRosiers of Richmond Hill-based DesRosiers Automotive Consultants and Mr. Richard Cooper, Executive Director - J.D. Power Canada.
Here is a brief of our discussions, regarding the immediate future of Canada's automotive sector:
Last week, GM posted an impressive loss - US $38.7 billion and although it was largely due to a third-quarter charge related to tax credits, is still an impressive number. What are the repercussions for GM's operations?

Dennis DesRosiers:
GM has been going through a variety of phases to become the new GM. It looks like right now they're at the final end of their restructuring stage - and this is where all the negatives are happening. They still need to go through their economics - like getting the wages down, but now they're emerging out of the ‘bad news story' phase, and we'll see as this year progresses into next, they'll be morphing into the next - the ‘better news story' phase. We're already starting to see snippets of it, such as specific products that they're introducing, plants that are going to be kept open, and of course, the reinvestments. They're exiting the first two phases - which are the relatively negative ones and entering the third - a much more positive one.
I'm not concerned about the GM announcements - they're expected, its part of the game. The issue is that we spin things so much in this industry that sometimes we get carried away and we start believing in the spin itself...
Richard Cooper:
I don't' think that GM's final result was a total surprise given the Q4 results - they've been working on cutting their costs and regaining market share and producing new, good products - like the new Malibu or the Buick Enclave and other products. We believe that the future looks strong for GM -especially as they now have a strong management in place. The main issue is that the industry doesn't stay the same and even as they're going through this entire process of restructuring, the industry keeps moving ahead and it gets more and more competitive ... Our outlook for GM is positive - we don't think that the recent announcement is major issue for GM in the longer term, and certainly when we're looking at GM on a global basis, it's a very strong company.
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STRATEGIC/MACRO DAILY INFORMATION for Canadian automotive business
TJAAautoinfo FASTWEBLINK
Tuesday - Sept. 07, 2010
FOCUS: The rise and fall in China's auto production and sales growth since 2006: Shifting Gears - Caixin
FOCUS II: BMW Chief Plans ‘Big Push' to Fend Off Audi, Mercedes - BusinessWeek
FOCUS III: Gordon Murray and his T.25 city car - Telegraph
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: Four unexpected US economic bright spots - Fortune
ECONOMIC
FUNDAMENTALS II:
Unemployment in U.S. May Rise Toward 10% on ‘Feeble' Growth - Bloomberg
CANADA
Tough rate call ahead for Mark Carney - Reportonbusiness
Canada Firms Plan to Add Jobs in Fourth Quarter, Manpower Says - Bloomberg
Unions' Labour Day bogey: Government cuts - CBC
INTERNATIONAL
NADA not happy with proposed fuel economy letter grades - Autobloggreen
Analysts: US auto sales recovery under way, but may take longer - DetroitNews
GM Powertrain Hungary to double capacity - Reuters
Audi's $66,000 A7 to Challenge BMW, Daimler for Luxury Lead - Bloomberg
Fritz Henderson Makes The Weirdest Career Move Ever - 24/7WallSt.
MMC, Peugeot to make electric cars in Spain - Reuters
Long Weekend - Sept. 04, 2010
FOCUS: Taxpayers likely to face initial loss on GM IPO - Reuters
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: Japan Has More Than Just a Yen Crisis - BusinessWeek
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS II: U.S. Economy: Recession Concerns Ease on Private Jobs - Bloomberg
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS III: EU austerity policies risk civil war in Greece, warns top German economist Dr Sinn - Telegraph
CANADA
Kia Canada to recall 4,500 cars - TheStar
UBS lowers estimates for Canadian GDP growth - FinancialPost
Canada Credit: Yield Forecasts Fall as Carney Prepares Meeting - Bloomberg
INTERNATIONAL
Study: Modern li-ion batteries have little effect on life cycle impact of electric cars - Autobloggreen
Chrysler takes the wraps off of 2011 Dodge Durango - DetroitNews
Movie Star, Car Buff Tim Allen New Voice for Chevy - WardsAuto
Oil eases on growth concerns and weaker storm - Reuters
Ford Settles With Minor Leaguer's Family After Losing Verdict - Bloomberg
Friday - Sept. 03, 2010
FOCUS: Opel: The achilles heel in GM's IPO - Fortune/CNNMoney
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: White House: No second stimulus being considered - Reuters
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS II: China reserves 65% in dollars, 26% in euro - MarketWatch
CANADA
Canada's Dollar Drops as Risk ‘Orgy' Flags Before Jobs Report - Bloomberg
TSX on longest winning streak since February - FinancialPost
Canada's big five banks earn $4.8 billion in third quarter - TheStar
INTERNATIONAL
US Treasury mulls over foreign investors in GM IPO - Reuters
Toyota's US August Performance Worst in More Than Year - WardsAuto
US hybrid sales drop off for August; even Prius records a 37.5% decline - Autobloggreen
GM IPO tour timetable emerges - DetroitNews
Thursday - Sept. 02, 2010
FOCUS: Honda shares pass Toyota's on emerging market hope - Reuters
FOCUS II: How EPA's new fuel economy label would grade current cars - Autobloggreen
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: U.S. Avoids Recession as Data Can't Get Much Worse - Bloomberg
CANADA
Auto sales slow to a crawl - TheStar
Auto sales surge in Canada, slump in U.S. - Reportonbusiness
Electric car upswing would crash grid: Toronto Hydro chief - TheStar
INTERNATIONAL
German Aug. new-car registrations down 27% on year - MarketWatch
Continental picks banks for high-yield bond - Reuters
Toyota Leads U.S. Sales Drop on ‘Clunkers' Comparison - Bloomberg
Chevy's New Cruze Needs a Hard Sell - BusinessWeek
Ferrari 458 fires prompt global recall - Just-Auto
US Auto sales: Worst August since 1983 - CNNMoney
GM China Growth Slowest in 17 Months; Ford Sales Gain - Bloomberg
Wednesday - Sept. 01, 2010
FOCUS: Dan Akerson's first day at the top of GM - Fortune
FOCUS II: China's August Car Sales Increase 59%, Center Says - Bloomberg
FOCUS III: Feds investigate '11 Hyundai Sonata for steering issues - DetroitNews
ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: The Knightian dog ate my recovery - Reuters
CANADA
Court clears Magna's $1B Stronach payout - FinancialPost
Auto Parts: Onex, CPPIB to delist Tomkins in London - Reportonbusiness
Ontario auto insurance reforms take effect Wednesday - TheStar
Canada's economic growth slows in Q2 - CBC
Canada's Dollar Falls to Eight-Week Low as Economic Pace Slows - Bloomberg
INTERNATIONAL
Visteon cleared to exit bankruptcy -DetroitNews
Tesla Roadster qualifies for Japan EV rebates - Reuters
Old GM, Motors Liquidation, files plan to revamp - MarketWatch
Japan Vehicle Sales Rise Most Since 1972 on Subsidy - Bloomberg
Hyundai Motor August sales dip due to holidays - Reuters
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