WEEKLY VIDEO: Chevrolet Malibu
CANADIAN AUTO BUSINESS: CHANGING TIMES

 

CANADIAN AUTO BUSINESS: CHANGING TIMES AND NEW FUEL ALTERNATIVES
Natural Gas - Canada's next opportunity
Ethanol - Tightrope walking
Pure Electric - Fast forward
Hybrids - The middle road
IC Engine - New hopes



TJAA.ca presents a new series on Canada's automotive opportunities related to alternative fuels. Here is the first installment:

NATURAL GAS - CANADA'S NEXT OPPORTUNITY

By Michael Pistol

It seems that we're living in a world ruled by the ones who like to maintain a big scary vision of a world gone horribly wrong. Yet, in reality, there's not a lot we should fear. Perhaps, all the shock and awe that high oil prices are provoking, is actually a good thing - some argue. And this is precisely were the pro and con arguments are reaching subatomic levels, to the delight of a small but growing crowd of business leaders who are taking this turmoil as their once in a life time opportunity. On the other side, the status-quo preponderant, terrified by the velocity of change and regression value of his business - the neutron bomb that quietly is decimating decades of investments and hopes for the future.

For the automotive sector, the fuel dilemma is a crushing one: Far too many companies are presuming that maintaining ‘optimum' conditions for aimless technological innovation is good corporate governance and citizenship. Yet, picking the wrong end of the stick can be devastating - and we're increasingly seeing the results of such ill, or well-conceived corporate policies.

For a moment, assume that indeed the oil price will rise to the $200 pb mark (see Goldman Sachs, CIBC World Markets, Gasprom's predictions). As scary as that is, reportedly, there are already rumblings of a $500 pb of oil within a 3 to 5 year period - at least according to the highly regarded Dr. Robert Hirsch, Senior Energy Advisor - MISI.

Now, before you reach for your Valium pills, you must remember that these are predictions only. Yet, considering this last year's oil experience, the state of the economy, capital's flight to commodities, etc, most of us will concede - at least marginally, that anything could happen.

As such, for the automotive sector, replacing oil as a source of fuel has become Priority No1 - across the board.

When talking alternative fuels and propulsion, most Canadians - business included - think hybrids, pure-electrics, ethanol and occasionally, biodiesel. Yet, one of the most potent alternative fuels, natural gas, is for some reasons at the very bottom of an ever-growing list of alternative options.

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STRATEGIC/MACRO DAILY INFORMATION for Canadian automotive business

TJAAautoinfo FASTWEBLINK

Tuesday - Sept. 07, 2010

FOCUS: The rise and fall in China's auto production and sales growth since 2006: Shifting Gears - Caixin

FOCUS II: BMW Chief Plans ‘Big Push' to Fend Off Audi, Mercedes - BusinessWeek

FOCUS III: Gordon Murray and his T.25 city car - Telegraph

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: Four unexpected US economic bright spots - Fortune

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS II: Unemployment in U.S. May Rise Toward 10% on ‘Feeble' Growth - Bloomberg

CANADA

Tough rate call ahead for Mark Carney - Reportonbusiness

Canada Firms Plan to Add Jobs in Fourth Quarter, Manpower Says - Bloomberg

Unions' Labour Day bogey: Government cuts - CBC

INTERNATIONAL

NADA not happy with proposed fuel economy letter grades - Autobloggreen

Analysts: US auto sales recovery under way, but may take longer - DetroitNews

GM Powertrain Hungary to double capacity - Reuters

Audi's $66,000 A7 to Challenge BMW, Daimler for Luxury Lead - Bloomberg

Fritz Henderson Makes The Weirdest Career Move Ever - 24/7WallSt.

MMC, Peugeot to make electric cars in Spain - Reuters

Long Weekend - Sept. 04, 2010

FOCUS: Taxpayers likely to face initial loss on GM IPO - Reuters

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: Japan Has More Than Just a Yen Crisis - BusinessWeek

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS II: U.S. Economy: Recession Concerns Ease on Private Jobs - Bloomberg

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS III: EU austerity policies risk civil war in Greece, warns top German economist Dr Sinn - Telegraph

CANADA

Kia Canada to recall 4,500 cars - TheStar

UBS lowers estimates for Canadian GDP growth - FinancialPost

Canada Credit: Yield Forecasts Fall as Carney Prepares Meeting - Bloomberg

INTERNATIONAL

Study: Modern li-ion batteries have little effect on life cycle impact of electric cars - Autobloggreen

Chrysler takes the wraps off of 2011 Dodge Durango - DetroitNews

Movie Star, Car Buff Tim Allen New Voice for Chevy - WardsAuto

Oil eases on growth concerns and weaker storm - Reuters

Ford Settles With Minor Leaguer's Family After Losing Verdict - Bloomberg

Friday - Sept. 03, 2010

FOCUS: Opel: The achilles heel in GM's IPO - Fortune/CNNMoney

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: White House: No second stimulus being considered - Reuters

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS II: China reserves 65% in dollars, 26% in euro - MarketWatch

CANADA

Canada's Dollar Drops as Risk ‘Orgy' Flags Before Jobs Report - Bloomberg

TSX on longest winning streak since February - FinancialPost

Canada's big five banks earn $4.8 billion in third quarter - TheStar

INTERNATIONAL

US Treasury mulls over foreign investors in GM IPO - Reuters

Toyota's US August Performance Worst in More Than Year - WardsAuto

US hybrid sales drop off for August; even Prius records a 37.5% decline - Autobloggreen

GM IPO tour timetable emerges - DetroitNews 

Thursday - Sept. 02, 2010

FOCUS: Honda shares pass Toyota's on emerging market hope - Reuters

FOCUS II: How EPA's new fuel economy label would grade current cars - Autobloggreen

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: U.S. Avoids Recession as Data Can't Get Much Worse - Bloomberg

CANADA

Auto sales slow to a crawl - TheStar

Auto sales surge in Canada, slump in U.S. - Reportonbusiness

Electric car upswing would crash grid: Toronto Hydro chief - TheStar

INTERNATIONAL

German Aug. new-car registrations down 27% on year - MarketWatch

Continental picks banks for high-yield bond - Reuters

Toyota Leads U.S. Sales Drop on ‘Clunkers' Comparison - Bloomberg

Chevy's New Cruze Needs a Hard Sell - BusinessWeek

Ferrari 458 fires prompt global recall - Just-Auto

US Auto sales: Worst August since 1983 - CNNMoney

GM China Growth Slowest in 17 Months; Ford Sales Gain - Bloomberg

Wednesday - Sept. 01, 2010

FOCUS: Dan Akerson's first day at the top of GM - Fortune

FOCUS II: China's August Car Sales Increase 59%, Center Says - Bloomberg

FOCUS III: Feds investigate '11 Hyundai Sonata for steering issues - DetroitNews

ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS: The Knightian dog ate my recovery - Reuters

CANADA

Court clears Magna's $1B Stronach payout - FinancialPost

Auto Parts: Onex, CPPIB to delist Tomkins in London - Reportonbusiness

Ontario auto insurance reforms take effect Wednesday - TheStar

Canada's economic growth slows in Q2 - CBC

Canada's Dollar Falls to Eight-Week Low as Economic Pace Slows - Bloomberg

INTERNATIONAL

Visteon cleared to exit bankruptcy -DetroitNews

Tesla Roadster qualifies for Japan EV rebates - Reuters

Old GM, Motors Liquidation, files plan to revamp - MarketWatch

Japan Vehicle Sales Rise Most Since 1972 on Subsidy - Bloomberg

Hyundai Motor August sales dip due to holidays - Reuters

FASTWEBLINK DATABASE - Monthly Archive

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